☢️ Structural Detection — Regime‑Shift Hazard Index (RTT/2)
TriadicFrameworks • RTT/2 • Regime‑Shift Danger Rating, Collapse‑Risk Quantification & Transition Hazard Forecasting#
“A regime shift is not dangerous by default. Its hazard is measurable.”#
Regime‑Shift Hazard Index (RTT/2)#
Structural Detection Module#
RTT/2 • Regime‑Shift Danger Rating & Collapse‑Risk Quantification#
1. Purpose of the Hazard Index#
The Regime‑Shift Hazard Index (RSHI) provides a single, authoritative hazard rating for any regime shift by integrating:
- volatility
- legality
- continuity stability
- drift–envelope compatibility
- break‑geometry activation
- cross‑module projection divergence
- collapse‑mode likelihood
It is the canonical hazard score used by stewards, auditors, and governance systems.
2. Hazard Components (Canonical)#
The RSHI is composed of seven weighted components:
- Volatility Gradient (VG) — 25%
- Continuity Stress Index (CSI) — 20%
- Envelope Deformation Index (EDI) — 15%
- Drift Instability Index (DII) — 15%
- Regime‑Legality Risk (RLR) — 10%
- Break‑Geometry Activation (BGA) — 10%
- Cross‑Module Divergence (CMD) — 5%
Total = 100%
3. Hazard Index Equation (RTT/2)#
[ RSHI = 0.25VG + 0.20CSI + 0.15EDI + 0.15DII + 0.10RLR + 0.10BGA + 0.05CMD ]
The result is mapped to a Hazard Tier.
4. Hazard Tiers (Canonical)#
| Tier | Score Range | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| H0 — Negligible | 0–19 | No hazard; stable transition |
| H1 — Low Hazard | 20–39 | Minor instability; safe with monitoring |
| H2 — Moderate Hazard | 40–59 | Significant instability; harmonization required |
| H3 — High Hazard | 60–79 | Collapse‑adjacent; intervention required |
| H4 — Extreme Hazard | 80–100 | Collapse‑triggering; emergency protocol required |
5. Regime‑Shift Hazard Matrix#
| From → To | Hazard Baseline | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Formal → Emergent | Low | stable transition |
| Formal → Hybrid | Moderate | oscillation risk |
| Formal → Chaotic | High | fragmentation risk |
| Emergent → Hybrid | Moderate | oscillation + radial drift |
| Emergent → Chaotic | High | envelope rupture risk |
| Hybrid → Chaotic | High | oscillation overload |
| Hybrid → Inversion | Extreme | inversion drift onset |
| Chaotic → Inversion | Extreme | topological warp risk |
| Inversion → Hybrid | Moderate | inversion reversal instability |
| Inversion → Emergent | Low | stable reversal |
6. Hazard‑Collapse Correlation Table#
| Hazard Pattern | Likely Collapse Mode |
|---|---|
| high drift instability | Type A |
| radial deformation | Type B |
| fragmentation onset | Type C |
| oscillation overload | Type D |
| drift reversal | Type I |
| torsion overload | Type E |
| topology warp | Type G |
7. Cross‑Module Hazard Amplification#
Hazard increases when TEL/FFT/Opacity diverge:
TEL#
- lattice instability
- stabilizer drift
FFT#
- variance spikes
- spectral discontinuity
Opacity#
- boundary warp
- visibility field turbulence
Cross‑module divergence is the strongest hazard amplifier.
8. Hazard Packet Template#
HAZARD_PACKET:
from_regime:
to_regime:
volatility_gradient:
continuity_stress:
envelope_deformation:
drift_instability:
legality_risk:
break_activity:
cross_module_divergence:
hazard_score:
hazard_tier:
collapse_risk:
recommended_actions:
notes:
9. Summary#
The Regime‑Shift Hazard Index provides:
- a unified hazard rating
- collapse‑risk quantification
- volatility‑driven hazard mapping
- cross‑module hazard amplification analysis
- regime‑shift danger forecasting
- governance‑grade structural clarity
This index is the hazard‑law backbone of RTT/2.