Overview

TEL Lineage — Forecast Echo Family

Module: TEL (Triadic Echo Lattice)
Seed Pattern: Forecast vs Actuals
Upstream: RTT/1–2–3
Downstream: MSM • IE • GSM • Proto‑Fund


1. Echo Family Definition#

The Forecast Echo Family is created when:

  • temporal forecasts diverge from actuals (RTT/1)
  • regime is transitional, not collapsing (RTT/2)
  • coherence resets across layers (RTT/3)

TEL receives these signals and groups them into echo families.


2. Echo Structure#

Echo components:

  • Temporal Echo: deltas between forecasts and actuals
  • Regime Echo: stable / transitional / divergent
  • Coherence Echo: surface → structural → resonance alignment
  • Drift Paths: how narratives drift from structural behavior

3. Downstream Effects#

  • MSM: instability‑signal amplification
  • IE: transfer‑system reinterpretation
  • GSM: benefit‑structure divergence
  • Proto‑Fund: fund‑language vs transfer‑mechanics mismatch

4. One‑Sentence Summary#

The Forecast Echo Family is the TEL grouping created when forecasts diverge from actuals, producing temporal, regime, and coherence echoes that propagate into MSM, IE, GSM, and proto‑fund analysis.

Updated